Week 10 Preview: Drunk Indians vs Fullybaked Steals the Show

Playoff odds and this week's swing

American League

Smokane FC 98 10
Harambe 98 24
Suh girls 70 3
Indians 60 7
Playoff line · 4 spots
Fullybaked 33 2
Ditkas 29 4
Midwest 6 18
Amish 4 15
CPU Jocks 1 16
Vitside <1 20
Dangsters <1 1

Out of the race: Minty.

Sked = The Gauntlet's rank of the schedule left (1 = hardest). Odds are an estimate from 10,000 simulated seasons.

National League

Ninjas 100 21
Balls Deep >99 11
Swiftie 88 17
No Soup 39 13
Playoff line · 4 spots
Pegs Me 27 19
Jewpacabra 19 22
Saints 13 14
Micks 8 23
Titsburgh 4 9
Chatmaster 1 8
The Show <1 6

Out of the race: Badd Boys.

Sked = The Gauntlet's rank of the schedule left (1 = hardest). Odds are an estimate from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Every team's playoff odds

Boom! Week 10 is here in the AFL, and I'm told the playoff picture is about to get very messy.

Get your phones ready, check the live scoreboard all afternoon, and set push notifications so you don't miss a single swing.

Every game, biggest stakes first

Game of the Week
Drunk Indians 6-5
vs
Fullybaked 6-5

FEATURED GAME: Drunk Indians (6-5) vs Fullybaked (6-5). League sources tell me this is the rivalry of the week, and the stakes are massive.

Drunk Indians have won the last two meetings, and they carry a 60% shot at the playoffs right now. A win pushes that to about 73%.

Fullybaked own the all-time series 21-16, and they're on a three-game win streak. A loss drops their chances to roughly 20%.

The NFL game that matters here is PIT at CIN, 44.4 projected points from these two teams' starters.

Aaron Rodgers (23.9) and Ja'Marr Chase (20.5) are the Drunk Indians engine, and that Chase matchup is the one to watch.

Josh Allen (30.3) is the single biggest projection in this entire game, and Fullybaked are riding him hard.

Money is nice, but championships are better. My pick: Drunk Indians, because Rodgers and Chase are too much to ignore.

Check the rivalry pages for the full history.

Key NFL game: PIT at CIN

44.4 projected points from these two lineups.

  • DRUNK QB Aaron Rodgers PIT 23.9
  • DRUNK WR Ja'Marr Chase CIN 20.5

The rivalry

160-122 2024
111-134 2024
113-137 2025
142-105 2025
159-149 2026
The full rivalry

Last five weeks

DRUNK BAKD
Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9

What's at stake: the playoffs

Indians: 73% with a win, 41% with a loss. Fullybaked: 52% with a win, 20% with a loss.

The Gauntlet: what's left

Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13 Rank DRUNK BAKDAMISHSHIT DITKASMOKE7th BAKD DRUNKVITSMOKE SHITDANG2nd
Week 10
No Soup For You 6-5
vs
Badd Boys 3-8

No Soup For You (6-5) vs Badd Boys (3-8). No Soup For You are at 39% playoff odds, and a win pushes them to 49%.

Travis Kelce (14.5) and Rashee Rice (15.5) are the weapons. My pick: No Soup For You.

Key NFL game: KC at ATL

30.0 projected points from these two lineups.

  • SOUP WR Rashee Rice KC 15.5
  • SOUP TE Travis Kelce KC 14.5
  • SOUP WR Drake London ATL 0.0
  • BADD TE Kyle Pitts ATL 0.0

The rivalry

151-70 2024
143-146 2024
103-116 2025
81-105 2025
129-59 2026
The full rivalry

Last five weeks

SOUP BADD
Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9

What's at stake: the playoffs

No Soup: 49% with a win, 22% with a loss. Badd Boys: <1% with a win, 0% with a loss.

The Gauntlet: what's left

Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13 Rank SOUP BADDSAINTSTITS BALLSSHOW13th BADD SOUPJEWNINJAS SHOWTITS5th
Week 10
Swiftie 4 Life 7-4
vs
Jewpacabra 5-6

Swiftie 4 Life (7-4) vs Jewpacabra (5-6). Swiftie 4 Life are at 88% playoff odds, but Jewpacabra have won the last three meetings.

Joe Burrow (30.1) anchors Swiftie 4 Life. My pick: Swiftie 4 Life, though Jewpacabra are dangerous.

Key NFL game: CAR at NO

72.8 projected points from these two lineups.

  • JEW QB Tyler Shough NO 25.9
  • JEW WR Chris Olave NO 16.5
  • JEW RB Chuba Hubbard CAR 15.7
  • JEW WR Tetairoa McMillan CAR 14.6

The rivalry

155-102 2024
160-87 2024
121-151 2025
107-116 2025
107-135 2026
The full rivalry

Last five weeks

SWIFTY JEW
Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9

What's at stake: the playoffs

Swiftie: 94% with a win, 76% with a loss. Jewpacabra: 33% with a win, 12% with a loss.

The Gauntlet: what's left

Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13 Rank SWIFTY JEWBALLSCHAT SAINTSPEGME17th JEW SWIFTYBADDSAINTS PEGMEMICKS22nd
Week 10
Da Dangsters 4-7
vs
Suh girls, one cup 8-3

Da Dangsters (4-7) vs Suh girls, one cup (8-3). Suh girls have won three straight meetings, and they are in the thick of the race.

Tyler Shough (25.9) gives Da Dangsters a real shot, but Trey McBride (23.4) is the Suh girls difference-maker. My pick: Suh girls, one cup.

Key NFL game: CAR at NO

52.2 projected points from these two lineups.

  • DANG QB Tyler Shough NO 25.9
  • SHIT RB Chuba Hubbard CAR 15.7
  • DANG WR Jalen Coker CAR 10.5

The rivalry

118-117 2024
122-102 2024
78-158 2025
81-87 2025
132-132 2026
The full rivalry

Last five weeks

DANG SHIT
Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9

What's at stake: the playoffs

Dangsters: 1% with a win, <1% with a loss. Suh girls: 78% with a win, 59% with a loss.

The Gauntlet: what's left

Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13 Rank DANG SHITDICKDITKA SMOKEBAKD1st SHIT DANGMWSDRUNK BAKDDITKA3rd
Week 10
Chatmaster 4-7
vs
A Bruin Pegs Me 5-6

Chatmaster (4-7) vs A Bruin Pegs Me (5-6). A Bruin Pegs Me are at 27% playoff odds and a win pushes that to 35%.

Caleb Williams (25.6) is the difference-maker. My pick: A Bruin Pegs Me.

Key NFL game: JAX at TEN

33.3 projected points from these two lineups.

  • CHAT RB Tony Pollard TEN 14.0
  • PEGME RB Bhayshul Tuten JAX 13.1
  • PEGME PK Cam Little JAX 6.2

The rivalry

133-94 2024
130-153 2024
90-98 2025
125-109 2025
100-135 2026
The full rivalry

Last five weeks

CHAT PEGME
Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9

What's at stake: the playoffs

Chatmaster: 3% with a win, <1% with a loss. Pegs Me: 35% with a win, 16% with a loss.

The Gauntlet: what's left

Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13 Rank CHAT PEGMENINJASSWIFTY MICKSSAINTS8th PEGME CHATTITSMICKS JEWSWIFTY19th
Week 10
Get off my Ditka 6-5
vs
Smokane FC 8-3

Get off my Ditka (6-5) vs Smokane FC (8-3). Smokane FC have won all three meetings, and Joe Burrow (30.1) is a monster.

Smokane FC are already at 98% playoff odds. My pick: Smokane FC, and Get off my Ditka need help.

Key NFL game: CAR at NO

33.2 projected points from these two lineups.

  • SMOKE WR Chris Olave NO 16.5
  • SMOKE TE Juwan Johnson NO 11.4
  • DITKA New Orleans Saints defense NO 5.3

The rivalry

109-149 2025
95-161 2025
128-136 2026
The full rivalry

Last five weeks

DITKA SMOKE
Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9

What's at stake: the playoffs

Ditkas: 41% with a win, 23% with a loss. Smokane FC: >99% with a win, 96% with a loss.

The Gauntlet: what's left

Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13 Rank DITKA SMOKEJOCKSDANG DRUNKSHIT4th SMOKE DITKAMINTBAKD DANGDRUNK10th
Week 10
The Boondock Saints 5-6
vs
Muck Juggling Micks 4-7

The Boondock Saints (5-6) vs Muck Juggling Micks (4-7). The Boondock Saints have won the last three meetings and are outplaying their scores by 1.6 wins.

Ja'Marr Chase (20.5) is the Micks' weapon. My pick: The Boondock Saints.

Key NFL game: PIT at CIN

31.4 projected points from these two lineups.

  • MICKS WR Ja'Marr Chase CIN 20.5
  • SAINTS TE Mike Gesicki CIN 10.9

The rivalry

124-159 2024
98-126 2024
135-111 2025
153-89 2025
117-79 2026
The full rivalry

Last five weeks

SAINTS MICKS
Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9

What's at stake: the playoffs

Saints: 21% with a win, 8% with a loss. Micks: 12% with a win, 2% with a loss.

The Gauntlet: what's left

Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13 Rank SAINTS MICKSSOUPJEW SWIFTYCHAT14th MICKS SAINTSSHOWPEGME CHATJEW23rd
Week 10
Avenging Amish 5-6
vs
Vitside Mafia 3-8

Avenging Amish (5-6) vs Vitside Mafia (3-8). Vitside Mafia have underperformed their scores by 3.2 wins, which is a red flag.

Jared Goff (27.5) carries Avenging Amish. My pick: Avenging Amish, and Vitside Mafia need a wake-up call.

Key NFL game: JAX at TEN

50.4 projected points from these two lineups.

  • VIT QB Trevor Lawrence JAX 24.2
  • VIT WR Parker Washington JAX 15.0
  • AMISH WR Wan'Dale Robinson TEN 11.2

The rivalry

143-89 2024
145-140 2024
128-85 2025
139-138 2025
131-146 2026
The full rivalry

Last five weeks

AMISH VIT
Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9

What's at stake: the playoffs

Amish: 8% with a win, 2% with a loss. Vitside: 1% with a win, 0% with a loss.

The Gauntlet: what's left

Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13 Rank AMISH VITDRUNKMWS DICKJOCKS15th VIT AMISHBAKDMINT MWSDICK20th
Week 10
Midwestside Connection 5-6
vs
Computer Jocks 4-7

Midwestside Connection (5-6) vs Computer Jocks (4-7). Computer Jocks lead the series 17-7, but Midwestside are riding a five-game losing streak.

Brock Bowers (22.9) is the key for Computer Jocks. My pick: Computer Jocks.

Key NFL game: SEA at LV

33.5 projected points from these two lineups.

  • JOCKS TE Brock Bowers LV 22.9
  • MWS WR Tre Tucker LV 10.6
  • MWS WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA 0.0

The rivalry

93-141 2024
118-137 2024
145-166 2025
127-104 2025
117-100 2026
The full rivalry

Last five weeks

MWS JOCKS
Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9

What's at stake: the playoffs

Midwest: 8% with a win, 3% with a loss. CPU Jocks: 2% with a win, <1% with a loss.

The Gauntlet: what's left

Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13 Rank MWS JOCKSSHITAMISH VITMINT18th JOCKS MWSDITKADICK MINTAMISH16th
Week 10
Titsburgh Feelers 4-7
vs
Balls Deep 10-1

Titsburgh Feelers (4-7) vs Balls Deep (10-1). Balls Deep are on a seven-game win streak and sit at 100% playoff odds.

Dak Prescott (27.4) leads the charge. My pick: Balls Deep.

Key NFL game: SF at DAL

43.1 projected points from these two lineups.

  • TITS RB Christian McCaffrey SF 22.1
  • BALLS QB Brock Purdy SF 21.0

The rivalry

116-84 2024
98-141 2024
144-117 2025
97-154 2025
128-175 2026
The full rivalry

Last five weeks

TITS BALLS
Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9

What's at stake: the playoffs

Titsburgh: 7% with a win, 2% with a loss. Balls Deep: 100% with a win, >99% with a loss.

The Gauntlet: what's left

Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13 Rank TITS BALLSPEGMESOUP NINJASBADD9th BALLS TITSSWIFTYSHOW SOUPNINJAS11th
Week 10
Team Minty Fresh 3-8
vs
Dicks out for Harambe 8-3

Team Minty Fresh (3-8) vs Dicks out for Harambe (8-3). Dicks out for Harambe are at 98% playoff odds and look locked in.

Dak Prescott (27.4) and Bo Nix (27.1) power that roster. My pick: Dicks out for Harambe, easily.

Key NFL game: WSH at NYG

53.4 projected points from these two lineups.

  • MINT QB Jayden Daniels WSH 25.6
  • DICK WR Malik Nabers NYG 16.6
  • MINT RB Cam Skattebo NYG 11.2

The rivalry

85-140 2024
111-129 2024
111-136 2025
102-93 2025
70-122 2026
The full rivalry

Last five weeks

MINT DICK
Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9

What's at stake: the playoffs

Minty: <1% with a win, 0% with a loss. Harambe: 99% with a win, 94% with a loss.

The Gauntlet: what's left

Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13 Rank MINT DICKSMOKEVIT JOCKSMWS12th DICK MINTDANGJOCKS AMISHVIT24th
Week 10
The Mariachi Ninjas 10-1
vs
The Show 3-8

The Mariachi Ninjas (10-1) vs The Show (3-8). The Mariachi Ninjas have won six straight meetings.

Jonathan Taylor (20.1) is the engine. My pick: The Mariachi Ninjas, and The Show need a miracle.

Key NFL game: MIA at IND

47.3 projected points from these two lineups.

  • NINJAS RB Jonathan Taylor IND 20.1
  • NINJAS TE Tyler Warren IND 11.1
  • SHOW WR Caleb Douglas MIA 10.8
  • NINJAS PK Spencer Shrader IND 5.3

The rivalry

132-110 2024
132-75 2024
183-99 2025
213-114 2025
180-129 2026
The full rivalry

Last five weeks

NINJAS SHOW
Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9

What's at stake: the playoffs

Ninjas: 100% with a win, 100% with a loss. The Show: 1% with a win, <1% with a loss.

The Gauntlet: what's left

Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13 Rank NINJAS SHOWCHATBADD TITSBALLS21st SHOW NINJASMICKSBALLS BADDSOUP6th

What to watch Sunday

Broadcast guide: watch CIN and PIT, where Ja'Marr Chase and Aaron Rodgers decide the featured game.

Also keep an eye on BUF, where Josh Allen headlines Fullybaked and Titsburgh Feelers. Check the Sunday Ticket board and your lineup before kickoff.